Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 53.430882 60.886862 68.604506 77.158630 86.344075 95.882438 106.507218
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.027841 51.400020 62.729626 75.894807 90.647990 106.556324 124.893685
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 34.316275 46.238496 59.793690 76.079545 94.862407 115.615764 140.054487
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 29.294450 42.216738 57.448444 76.283046 98.532102 123.604616 153.630992
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 25.582536 39.247808 55.891866 76.998188 102.443352 131.589803 166.975786
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 21.780918 35.707166 53.254478 76.073704 104.133397 136.777739 176.919995
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 19.515678 33.901470 52.560474 77.335342 108.288997 144.744668 190.021401
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 17.712060 32.514290 52.239520 78.928694 112.748947 153.009835 203.442911
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 15.261328 29.949296 50.158186 78.100070 114.074647 157.410358 212.205501
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 12.741397 26.995101 47.320333 76.088267 113.752579 159.684686 218.321937
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.086392 26.818696 48.274162 79.052003 119.729681 169.676004 233.774233
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.204369 26.183742 48.511632 81.007440 124.388183 178.036706 247.265247
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.550820 24.120853 46.589249 79.969438 125.159364 181.601126 254.983278
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.076388 22.173312 44.697687 78.864321 125.764600 184.910852 262.368916
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.070629 20.927482 43.766498 79.026682 127.989230 190.227435 272.216781
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.188238 19.789958 42.916606 79.238871 130.235430 195.546650 282.061372
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.502477 18.941640 42.459114 79.970476 133.153627 201.714136 292.971245
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.596080 17.485818 40.912549 79.024067 133.724935 204.819428 300.012151
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.155876 16.975755 40.891334 80.315696 137.359966 211.895504 312.079568
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.807504 16.622969 41.106592 81.946674 141.462346 219.590161 324.954555
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.150245 15.398802 39.733391 81.098520 142.060638 222.671416 331.950230
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.436567 13.837869 37.639036 79.038968 140.876925 223.350550 335.836008
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.373731 14.062178 38.793124 82.072883 146.945478 233.658714 352.111555